Can the Russians lure our military into a trap in Kherson: an expert's guess
The Russians seem to be planning to leave the right bank of the Dnieper, and the first thing that is alarming is the active articulation of this withdrawal, that is, the announcement. Everything that happened before – we already learned during the event: the flight from Zmiinoye or “regrouping” in the Kharkiv region.
About this Channel 24Ivan Stupak, a former employee of the SBU and an expert at the Ukrainian Institute for the Future, said. He also noted that, in advance, the occupiers never warned of anything – this is alarming, so it can actually be different.
Ivan Stupak says that the Russians are in order for any provocations, so they can shoot civilians who will try to leave Kherson and blame Ukraine for this.
Secondly, the Russians can trap us in Kherson and then it will be the scenario of the First Chechen War – the Russian group entered Grozny, where they got stuck in urban battles, – the expert notes.
Why did the Armed Forces of Ukraine reduce the activity of shelling of crossings in the Kherson region
We should not exclude the fact that the Armed Forces of Ukraine could not have information about the movement. It should also be understood that the Russians really learn from their and our mistakes. Perhaps they were able to create a regime where no one notices their movement along the pontoon crossings.
The latest news from Kherson
The other day the commander of the Russian troops Sergei Surovikin said that due to the difficult situation in the Kherson region, the occupiers will have to make “difficult decisions.” The Russian general did not specify what decisions he was talking about.
Surovikin and collaborators also state that the Armed Forces of Ukraine are planning a strike on the dam of the Kakhovskaya hydroelectric power station. Analysts at the American Institute for the Study of War are convinced that Russia may be preparing a “false flag operation” – that is, blowing up a hydroelectric power station and blaming Ukraine and thereby covering up its retreat from Kherson.
- On October 19, Kremlin dictator Vladimir Putin declared martial law in the temporarily occupied territories of Ukraine, including in the Kherson region. Secretary of the National Security and Defense Council Oleksiy Danilov noted that the Kremlin's actions look more like the deportation of Ukrainians. In particular, the collaborators say that those whose houses are destroyed during the hostilities will receive new housing on the territory of Russia in any of its regions. That is, it is quite likely that Ukrainians can be deported to remote regions of the aggressor country.
- The head of the joint coordination headquarters of the Southern Defense Forces, Natalya Gumenyuk, noted that the Armed Forces are no longer so far from Kherson, but our defenders there is still a lot of work to be done. At the same time, Gumenyuk called the “evacuation” a trap. According to her, this is not only the deportation of Ukrainians, but also the use of civilians as human shields.