The International Criminal Court issued an arrest warrant for Vladimir Putin. He is accused of war crimes committed in Ukraine: illegal deportation of children and transportation of Ukrainians to Russia.

This information was commented on by Alexander Kovalenko, a military-political observer for the Information Resistance group, to Channel 24 . According to him, serious problems may begin in Russia because of this decision.

What will happen in Russia

Alexander Kovalenko explained that in the context of international law, Vladimir Putin is a war criminal.

“We have a pretty serious precedent since World War II,” a political-military observer described the statement.

In his opinion, a warrant for the arrest of Putin could lead to the imposition of sanctions and subsequent detention of other criminals in Russia.

What will happen to Sergei Shoigu, Valery Gerasimov, Maria Zakharov, Sergei Lavrov and others? In fact, all these people should understand that almost tomorrow they can become war criminals and they will be put on the wanted list,” he stressed.

Kovalenko added that the most interesting phase is ahead.

“In a general panic, they can start to “merge” each other,” he is convinced.

The military-political observer emphasized that he previously thought that the likelihood that Putin could be extradited after the end of the war was minimal. However, he has now changed his mind.

Now everything can happen according to a completely different scenario: they can internally merge Putin himself,” he said.

According to him, recent events will also affect the situation in the war zone.

Who will surrender Putin first

Alexander Kovalenko stressed that the issuance of an arrest warrant not only to the President of Russia, but also to Maria Lvova-Belova, Commissioner of the Russian Federation for Children, is only the first step.

“In the near future, this list may expand. When these spiders in the bank start eating each other, then it will be an interesting chain of events,” he is convinced.

In addition, Putin wants to hand over his entourage to the court with his own hands.

We can now consider the main groups – these are the most influential from the Ministry of Defense, Sergei Shoigu and Valery Gerasimov, of course. Their competition is Lubyanka, the FSB, again Nikolai Patrushev, Alexander Bortnikov, Dmitry Kozak, Mikhail Babich, he said.

In his opinion, the Foreign Intelligence Service of the Russian Federation and its director Sergei Naryshkin may not stand aside. However, his fight for Putin's head is unlikely.

“Most likely, we will see precisely the events of misunderstanding and the growth of confrontation between Frunzenskaya Embankment and Lubyanka,” he added.

Kovalenko noted that it would be interesting to watch. However, Putin is no stranger to the impossibility of leaving the territory of the Russian Federation.

However, it is highly likely that the dictator will not take into account the prohibitions. Among the countries to which he may leave may be Belarus, Tajikistan, Iran and Syria.