“People will understand that something is not working”: Putin does not know what to do with pseudo-referendums
Russian dictator Putin's administration does not know what to do with the so-called “referenda” about "joining Russia" occupied territories of Ukraine, because the Russian army was unable to occupy the Donetsk region.
However, the presidential administration of the Russian Federation has not yet abandoned the idea of holding pseudo-referendums in the fall in the self-proclaimed “LPR” and “DPR”, as well as in occupied territories of Zaporozhye and Kherson regions.
This is reported by the Russian edition of Meduza.
Russia controls 60.25% of the Donetsk region, but this figure is not growing and a month ago the figure was 59.7%.
The Kremlin hoped that they could hold referendums on the annexation of all these territories on September 11 – on a single day voting, when elections of regional parliaments and several governors will be held in Russia. However, according to the plan of the Russian authorities, until this date, the troops of the Russian Federation and the DPR should fully control the Donetsk region.
Now, Putin's administration is considering another option: referendums should be held on September 11, but 60% of the territory of the Donetsk region will be annexed to Russia. If the troops are later able to occupy the remaining territory of the region, then it “will be attached to Russia by default.”
The publication notes that in May-June, the Russian authorities were sure that by September the Donetsk region “already that time” will be under their control – and there it will be possible to “calmly” prepare a referendum. However, the Kremlin again misjudged the situation at the front.
Meduza writes that the Russian authorities are very unwilling to postpone the referendums again (they were originally planned to be held back in the spring). Representatives of the pro-Russian administrations of the occupied territories have even signed documents on preparations for voting, and relevant billboards are already hanging in the settlements of the Kherson and Zaporozhye regions, as well as the self-proclaimed “DNR” and “LNR”.
However, Putin is already working on a fallback scenario, according to which the vote can once again be postponed to the winter. The Kremlin hopes that by December-January, Russian troops will be able to capture the Donetsk region and not lose control over the already occupied territories.
At the same time, the Kremlin understands that another postponement of referenda may confuse those who support the war. Like, people will understand that something does not work out, calculations are not confirmed and may perceive this as a weakness.
Putin does not yet understand how to avoid such a development of events. However, the inhabitants of the territories occupied by Russia have already begun to gradually prepare for such a scenario. This is evidenced by the statements of the leader of the terrorists in the “LNR” Leonid Pasechnik and the deputy chairman of the occupational military-civilian administration of the Kherson region Ekaterina Gubareva that the referendums will be held “only after the capture of the entire Donetsk region” without specifying specific dates.
The publication notes: if the referendums are postponed until the winter, then most likely political technologists will need to develop “new slogans and elements of ideology” for their implementation. In the meantime, Putin's administration has developed the concept of “New Russia” for referendums. They say that after joining the occupied territories to Russia, the country will become “stronger and richer” and “get a new quality.” However, Putin himself and members of the Security Council did not like this ideology, who believe that the country “returns its own, and does not receive something new.” As a result, now residents of the Kherson and Zaporozhye regions are campaigning for a referendum with the slogans “Together with Russia” and “One people”.
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