Ukrainian intelligence has corroborated ISW claims that Russian forces are incapable of conducting large-scale simultaneous offensive campaigns on multiple fronts. Also, the Russians do not have many missiles left, which will affect their strikes on Ukraine.

Vadim Skibitsky, a spokesman for the Main Intelligence Directorate, said that during the year Russia showed that it could not simultaneously conduct a large strategic offensive in 2-3 directions.

Vadim Skibitsky said that Russia failed to achieve the expected progress in the attack on the Donbass. In addition, the Russians are trying to take up defense in the temporarily occupied Crimea, Kherson and Zaporozhye.

How Russian missile attacks could change

As far as missile strikes are concerned, the Kremlin may change tactics. After all, Russian missile strikes are decreasing, which indicates the depletion of Russian stocks of precision-guided missiles.

Vadim Skibitsky noticed that Russia could start hitting military facilities, troops and logistics of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. After all, the Kremlin has only 15% of the volumes of missiles that were before the start of a full-scale war. We are talking about high-precision Iskanders, Caliber, Kh-101, Kh-555, Kinzhals, as well as Kh-22 missiles.

In addition, less than 10% are stocks of Caliber, Kh-101 and Kh-555. That is why now the Russians cannot beat more than twice a month . Although in October 2022 Russia hit Ukraine once a week, then once every 10-14 days.

Vadim Skibitsky noted that Russia at the end of 2022 could produce only 20-30 Caliber and Kh-101 cruise missiles monthly. Regarding the Iskanders, the occupiers are in a much worse situation.

The ISW has previously assessed that Russian forces are depleting their missile arsenal, which could limit the frequency and intensity of Russian missile strikes.

Note! Literally on March 23, Sergei Cherevaty, a representative of the Eastern Group of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, said that the Russians on Bakhmut did not have enough Wagner forces. Therefore, the enemies are forced to attract paratroopers. Read more about this here.