The scenario of the capture of Kyiv is unrealistic, but the Russians can try: what to expect in the capital
The danger for Kyiv really remains/Photo by the Kyiv City State Administration
About whether the enemy really decides to take Kyiv by storm again – exclusively to the Channel 24 website Deputy Chairman of the Board of the Center for Defense Strategies, Deputy Minister of Defense of Ukraine (2019 – 2020) Alina Frolova said.
A threat to Kyiv
Alina Frolova is sure that now the threat to Kyiv really remains and you need to trust the information provided by the General Staff, the Armed Forces of Ukraine and the Commander-in-Chief. Everyone knows that Russia will continue rocket attacks and the work of sabotage and reconnaissance groups (DRGs).
It is worth mentioning the sinking of the Moskva cruiser, after which the Russians stepped up rocket attacks on critical infrastructure, industrial enterprises, etc. .d.
Russian troops are constantly aiming at the civilian population, so Kyiv is such a symbolic city for them and can be under constant gunfire and rocket attacks or terrorist attacks.
As for the land operation itself, such a threat is also remains. Because we see that there is still a concentration of forces in Belarus, there is equipment there. The forces are located along the border with Sumy, Chernigov, in fact, this is exactly the direction that they used for the first attempt to capture Kyiv.
Deputy Chairman of the Board of the Center for Defense Strategies, Deputy Minister of Defense of Ukraine (2019 – 2020 )
Russia lacks resources
According to the specialist, the Russians, apparently, have finally realized that they do not have the resources to hold several fronts at the same time. Therefore, the expert predicts the following: if they do not succeed in the east or south, perhaps they will try another land operation on Kyiv.
The Russians need some kind of victory, if this victory is unattainable on one front, they will try to win it on the other. Or they may try to do some kind of demonstrative provocation in order to create such a look and draw off the resources of our Armed Forces.
Ukrainian military heroically defend the country from invaders/Photo by the press service
In general, I would say that there really are no regular Russian troops near Kyiv now, but we still have a fairly short distance to the border, and Kyiv is close to the border with Belarus, so this danger remains. It's just that the percentage of its probability is lower than it was at the beginning of the war,” Frolova explained.
The expert added that the capture of Kyiv is a utopian idea, especially now. We see and hear that approaches to the capital are now being strengthened, and this is absolutely right, because we understand that our enemy will not go anywhere.
After all, both Russia and Belarus will still be our neighbors. Therefore, the fortification of key cities is important. And therefore the second run for Russia will be even harder than the first, in terms of the readiness of the city and the defense around it.
We must understand that in order to capture such large cities as Kyiv, a sufficiently large number of military personnel is needed. And in order to encircle and capture, then you need a large number of their National Guard to control the city. Such a capture scenario looks unrealistic. But this does not mean that there will be no attempts to advance, although there is great doubt that they will be able to do so. But we see that Putin is prone to making strange decisions, and therefore it is impossible to exclude such a scenario, Alina Frolova summed up.
After failures in the East, the Russians may try to attack Kyiv again/Photo of the Kyiv City State Administration
What Official Sources Say
Deputy Minister of Defense of Ukraine Anna Malyar said on the air of the All-Ukrainian National Marathon that Russia does not abandon its plans to seize the entire Ukraine, including Kyiv.
We are in the hot phase of the war. Russia does not leave its plans to seize the whole of Ukraine, including Kyiv, if you look at the global plan, then it all goes down. If we talk about revenge, then they, in principle, destroy us, our resistance irritates them. You can call it revenge, you can – otherwise. It is difficult to draw final conclusions at a time when the hot phase of the war is underway. But one can definitely say, if we compare what Russia managed to do and what the Armed Forces of Ukraine managed to prevent, then, of course, the advantage is on the side of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, – Malyar said.
The Kyiv city military administration also stated that the danger to the capital remains.
The danger for Kyiv remains! As long as there is no peace, Kyiv must be ready for defense, the KSVA noted.
Kyiv Mayor Vitaliy Klitschko asked the people of Kiev not to return home yet, as demining continues around the city, which is extremely dangerous. In addition, the enemy does not stop bombarding the capital with rockets. Therefore, officials are asking people to wait a little while returning to Kyiv.